Volume 3, Issue 3 (July 2024)
Health Science Monitor 2024, 3(3): 195-202 |
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Rasouli J, Hosseini A, Alinejad V. Evaluating trends and influencing factors of cardiovascular disease mortality over time: a time series analysis in West Azerbaijan province. Health Science Monitor 2024; 3 (3) :195-202
URL: http://hsm.umsu.ac.ir/article-1-146-en.html
URL: http://hsm.umsu.ac.ir/article-1-146-en.html
M.Sc. student, Epidemiology, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran (Corresponding Author)
Abstract: (548 Views)
Background & Aims: Cardiovascular diseases are among the most important causes of death worldwide. The present study aimed to evaluate the trend of changes in the death rate due to cardiovascular diseases, with an emphasis on short- and long-term effective variables.
Materials & Methods: In this descriptive-analytical (time series) study, all deaths due to cardiovascular diseases registered in the health registration system of death cases by the Health Vice-Chancellor of Urmia University of Medical Sciences from 2018 to 2021 were analyzed. A total of 27,146 cases of death due to cardiovascular causes were recorded and included in our study. SPSS, Minitab, and SAS software were utilized for data analysis.
Results: The rate of death due to cardiovascular causes in this study was 30.51% during the investigated period. The univariate time series model (ARMA 1, 2) was deemed the most suitable fit model for cardiovascular death data. Also, age and education were identified as effective factors in the rate of cardiovascular deaths.
Conclusion: The trend of cardiovascular deaths has not been rising. It has increased with age and lower education levels over time. This rate has been further exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Materials & Methods: In this descriptive-analytical (time series) study, all deaths due to cardiovascular diseases registered in the health registration system of death cases by the Health Vice-Chancellor of Urmia University of Medical Sciences from 2018 to 2021 were analyzed. A total of 27,146 cases of death due to cardiovascular causes were recorded and included in our study. SPSS, Minitab, and SAS software were utilized for data analysis.
Results: The rate of death due to cardiovascular causes in this study was 30.51% during the investigated period. The univariate time series model (ARMA 1, 2) was deemed the most suitable fit model for cardiovascular death data. Also, age and education were identified as effective factors in the rate of cardiovascular deaths.
Conclusion: The trend of cardiovascular deaths has not been rising. It has increased with age and lower education levels over time. This rate has been further exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
General
Received: 2023/10/2 | Accepted: 2024/05/11 | Published: 2024/07/8
Received: 2023/10/2 | Accepted: 2024/05/11 | Published: 2024/07/8
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